Friday, February 24, 2012

What's a 'mad scientist' like John Cohn doing in IBM? Read on

As Lionel Messi dribbles at the iconic Maracana stadium and thousands descend on Rio de Janeiro for the 2014 Soccer World Cup, engineers at IBM's labs in Brazil provide real-time updates to city administrators on traffic snarls, mudslides on the beaches and weather shifts. 

"Smarter human systems using predictive analytics are innovations researchers there are creating and deploying," says IBM's John Cohn

An IBMer for thirty years, Cohn's designation, reads 'IBM Fellow.' Much of what he does within IBM and without is essentially to do with marrying innovation with sustainability; smart computing with human lives and science with simplicity. 

An IBM Fellow is the top technology post at Big Blue and since there are only 70 of them among the giant's 4.2 lakh employees, it immediately puts Cohn on a pedestal. Besides, Cohn is chief scientist for electronic design automation with 50 patents. He helps build the chips at the heart of IBM's mainframe computers as well as the chip brains in video game consoles. 

Cohn is a self-proclaimed 'mad scientist' with a passion for science, and sustainability. But where does the 100-year-old behemoth like IBM gets its cutting-edge ideas from, in these days of six-month-old startups? Ideas today, Cohn says, can come from anywhere in the world. 

And that's where the company's global footprint helps, especially at research labs in Brazil, India and Israel. "Ideas need not come only from startups. Ideas themselves can have startup status in that they can be nurtured and mentored within a behemoth," he says. 


 
"I think large, structured organisations like ours actually realise the need for a few creative loose cannons to keep things fresh. In fact, when I think of my most senior technical colleagues, the IBM Fellows, they're nearly all a little offbeat." 

IBM is the only global firm that has everything from particle theorists all the way up to business theorists and everything in between. Cohn feels ideas also come from where they are most needed. With infrastructure bottlenecks, poor resource management and lax ecological enforcement threatening to stymie India's future growth, smart, local solutions are the key. 

"IBM's Burlington semiconductor unit was an energy guzzler," says Cohn. "I sat with the local engineering team and tweaked the instrumentation panels, which reduced overall energy cost by 40% each year, up to a few millions of dollars." What that small change triggered was IBM's Smarter Planet initiative. 

"We're figuring out how to use information technology to make the world run more sustainably," says Cohn of the project. The electric grid today is not more sophisticated than it was when Thomas Edison invented the light bulb. 

"By putting more intelligence into the endpoints of the grid, houses and factories, we will be able to calibrate electrical generation to meet the need. Without that, you have to always over-generate," says Cohn. 



"You're using more fuel, putting more carbon in the air." Cohn's visit to Bangalore, among other things, was to see how the local software lab created a solar-powered array to drive energy efficiency for data centres. 

The array is spread over 6,000 squarefeet of rooftop covering of the lab in Bangalore and can generate 50-kilowatt of electricity for 330 days a year, an average of five hours a day, taking the energy load off the data centres. 

"Every one of the IBM Fellows love to come down to India because centres here have all the elements, from the entrepreneurial to the geeky, cutting across products, platforms and technologies," he says. Cohn's also involved with the IBM's India Software Labs (ISL) in big data technology which is a focus area the lab. 

But Cohn is not your tied-to-the-comp closet geek. As a mission to popularise science, he frequently takes his traveling 'Jolts and Volts' electricity show to schools, community groups, universities and museums across the US, roughly 50,000 have taken part, including diverse venues as the New York Hall of Science, The National Building Museum in Washington DC and frequent shows at the Disney Epcot Center in Florida. 

"I am really a nerd who just loves science," he says. "The difference between my shows ten years back and those done today is that kids today understand sustainable development. They realise that there have to be technology solutions to improve energy efficiency. Earlier, this awareness was less. Only a few kids would be keen on the tech aspects of devices." 

Meshing work with passion, Cohn cochairs IBM's company-wide Technical Education Outreach steering committee where he and other volunteers go to school to simplify science and technology. The root of an idea and its germination begin when a conversation gets going within the company, says Cohn. 

"The most important thing for a company of our size is to make it easy for folks to network and connect with employees in very different disciplines from their own. IBM has a variety of programmes to bring folks together around ideas. We use a mix of face-to-face and virtual collaborations," he says. 

Should ideas, and the conversations surrounding them, lead to incremental innovation or the big leap forward? Steady incremental innovation is necessary and the history of computing itself shows the value of moving one at a time. 

"At some point, you have to take bold steps too. Create technology that can change the world. Big companies are great about incremental innovation," says Cohn. One of the big leaps that IBM has taken is Project Watson, developed over the past four years by a team of IBM scientists, to accomplish a grand challenge: build a computing system that rivals a human's ability to understand human language and answer questions with speed, accuracy and confidence. 

"When IBM scientists began this project, others in the scientific community believed this task to be impossible," says Cohn. "It represents a tremendous breakthrough in computers understanding natural language, real language that is not specially designed and encoded just for computers, but language humans use to capture and communicate knowledge." 

Cohn has worked with hundreds of smart IBMers round the world-including at the Bangalore centre, on the implementation of the P7 processor chip that makes up Watson's hardware. He played the role of a leader in the development of the software tools and methodologies used to create the P7 chip. 

Deep analytics, as epitomised by Project Watson, technologies for a smarter planet, cloud computing and targeting growth markets, are the strategic themes that big technology firms should talk about and work on, says Cohn: "Stay passionate about your work, that's what I tell folks I mentor. Nothing fuels innovation like passion. Nothing kills innovation than lack of passion."

CEOs slip to fourth place on credibility index: Study




Amid tough economic and business conditions, the CEOs in India have slipped to fourth position in terms of their credibility perception and are now less trusted than even the common people, a survey has said. 

According to an annual 'Trust Barometer' index, compiled by global public relations and consultancy major Edelman, the CEOs have dropped to fourth position, from the top position a year ago, as per the findings of a perception survey about credibility of persons in areas like businesses, government, NGOs and media. 

The top-three spots are now occupied byacademicianstechnical experts and the "person like me" or the common people, the survey found. 

Media, as also the social networking arena, have seen significant improvement in their credibility levels, while the trust level for businesses, government and NGOs remained largely stagnant over the past year. 

"...Credibility of CEOs in India has decreased significantly, dropping from the number one spot to the number four spot, after an academic, technical expert and a 'person like me', in that order," the 'Edelman's Trust Barometer 2012' report said. 

The survey was conducted among more than 30,000 people in 25 countries including 1,000 Indian and covered trust in four areas, businesses, government, NGOs and media. 

As per the findings, a systemic decline in trust in most institutions globally has seen a "person like me" or the common person re-emerging as one of the most credible people, with the biggest increase in credibility since 2004, and now trails only academics and technical experts. 

The survey, which gauged the confidence levels in the last year, found that confidence in media has risen from 50 per cent in 2010 to 70 per cent. A number of scams being unearthed during the year 2011 might have worked in favour of the Indian media. 

Overall, trust in media rose above 50 per cent for the first time globally. Besides, trust in social media in India showed a double digit rise, from 19 per cent to 29 per cent. 

Globally, social-networking, micro-blogging, and content-sharing sites witnessed the dramatic percentage increase as trusted sources of information about a company, rising by 88 per cent, 86 per cent, and 75 percent, respectively. 

Trust levels in business (69 per cent), government (53 per cent) and NGOs (67 per cent) remain stagnant in India. 

"Business is substantially more trusted than government. But it has its own hurdles to clear. In this year's Trust Barometer in India, business and government are both not meeting the general public's expectations," Edelman President and CEO Richard Edelman said. 

"The results in the general publics category throw up calls for greater protection for consumers from irresponsible behavior by business," he added. 

In terms of sectors, technology, banks, automotive and telecommunications remain the most trusted industries in India with trust levels ranging from 80 per cent (telecom) to 92 per cent (technology). 

Europe suffering an 'oil shock' as prices hit record high

Draugen


No sooner are Europe's debt anxieties easing a touch than a sharp rise in oil prices threatens to impede the economy's tentative recovery from the euro's near-death experience with Greece

Brent oil has shot up about 20 percent since mid-December on concern over cuts in Iranian supply, and set an all-time high this week in euros. Oil has not reached a level that poses a grave danger to growth, economists say. 

In dollars, today's price around $123 is still below last April's $127 high, let alone the record peak of $147 scaled in 2008. But the risk is that consumers and companies, their confidence still fragile, will crawl back under the covers. 

"This comes at a difficult time for the euro area economy, which I would still characterise as being in a state of mild recession despite one or two more promising signs," said Julian Callow, an economist at Barclays Capital in London. 

"If we were to see a rapid, sudden escalation in the oil price, then for sure it would be a factor that would lead us to be revising down our projections for euro area growth and, if sustained, could make a mild recession turn into something more serious," he said. 

Picking a precise pain threshold is tricky, but prices are approaching the danger zone. 

Andrew Milligan, head of global strategy at Standard Life Investments in Edinburgh, said he would not be too worried by another $10-15 rise in the oil price in dollar terms for dollar-based industries. But it would be a different matter if oil climbed above $140 a barrel and stayed there. 

"Corporate profits are already not that strong already and, although some parts of the stock market would benefit, self-evidently, the negative impact on the wider economy and on domestic profits would become quite noticeable," Milligan said. 

Economists at JP Morgan said the recent price run-up brings it closer to becoming the largest immediate potential pitfall for the European and global economies. 

"No doubt, some of the move reflects the improving growth outlook. But should Brent jump to near $130 a barrel owing to supply fears, the damage would offset the upside seen in the data to date," they said in a note. 

Europe is more vulnerable than the United States, which is showing signs of economic recovery and is also benefiting from tumbling natural gas prices. However, the correlation between shifts in oil prices and growth is complicated. 

As Reuters columnist John Kemp points out, the work of US economist James Hamilton shows that price rises are more likely to affect the economy if they set a new high beyond what consumers and firms have already lived through, rather than just reversing earlier declines. 



That is consistent with what happened in 2010/2011.Brent crude rose more than 75 percent between late August 2010 and mid-April 2011. Economic growth duly slowed, but oil was simply rebounding from a slump to $40 in late 2008 after the collapse of Lehman Brothers sent the world economy into a tailspin: the recession some economists had expected did not occur. 

DON'T PANIC 

With Brent setting new highs expressed in euros, Europe is suffering an " oil shock" on Hamilton's criteria. But the net increase in February compared with the previous 12 months is just 4 percent, Kemp calculates, limiting the impact. 

The blow to European consumers will be further cushioned because taxes account for a bigger chunk of the price at the pump than does the cost of crude. Other structural factors are at work, too, which may dampen the impact of an oil price spike. 

"Oil consumption in Europe has been in decline for some time as a result of falling consumption of oil by the power-generation sector, increased efficiency and conservation and relative saturation in the regional automotive market," said Caroline Bain, a commodities analyst at The Economist Intelligence Unit. 

On the flip side, euro zone consumers are not only paying record local-currency prices for oil but they are not getting the break Americans are enjoying from sharply lower natural gas prices, which plumbed a 10-year low in January. 

More broadly, Europe's economy is still extremely fragile. The European Commission on Thursday scrapped its forecast of 0.5 percent growth this year in the euro zone and said the bloc was likely instead to shrink by 0.3 percent. A day earlier, an index based on a survey of euro zone purchasing managers slipped back below the line demarcating growth from contraction. 

"With concerns about a Greek default likely to rumble on and further austerity measures coming elsewhere in the region, the European economy is more vulnerable to shocks of all kinds - including higher oil prices," Julian Jessop, chief global economist at Capital Economics in London, said in a note. 

GET USED TO IT 

Concern about a disruption to Iranian oil shipments has been a principal driver of the recent price rally. If the fears were to materialise, equities would probably tumble, hitting the global economy through the confidence and wealth channels as well as through a direct squeeze on disposable incomes. 

Ian Taylor, head of the world's leading oil trader, Vitol, said this week that any strike on Iran's nuclear sites would likely push oil prices to $150 a barrel, at least temporarily. 



"The market is intensely worried about a geo-political supply-side shock and that would certainly be sufficient to cause investment risk to come off the table quickly," said Milligan at Standard Life Investments. 

Looking past the near-term uncertainty surrounding Iran, Andrew Sentance, a former member of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee, said high and fluctuating prices for energy were part of a "new normal" economic climate in which Asia is the main engine of global growth. 

Periodic bursts of inflation would add to the volatility of what was likely to be disappointing growth in the West for quite some time, according to Sentance, a senior economic adviser to PricewaterhouseCoopers, an accounting and advisory firm. 

"This strong growth in Asia and other emerging markets is putting considerable pressure on markets for energy and other commodities and that is one of the reasons why we are finding growth so difficult to achieve," he told a conference organised by the Institute of Economic Affairs, a free-market think tank in London. 

"That's not just a short-term phenomenon. It's a secular issue that's going to persist through the middle of this decade," he said.

India Adds 8.44 Million GSM Subscribers in January 2012– Uninor Leads


Cellular Operators Association of India (COAI) today released India’s ‘GSM Subscriber Figures for January 2012.
Uninor tops in the new subscriber additions, added a total of 2.49 million new GSM subscribers followed byIDEA Cellular which has added 1.75 million new subscribers in  Jan’ 2012.
According to the data released by COAI total 8.44 million new GSM subscribers added with 1.32% increase from previous month taking the all-India GSM cellular subscriber base to 648.08 million at the end of January 2012. Cheers Mobile / Etisalat DB looses 1,19,093 customers during January 2012.
Among the leading GSM Mobile Service Operators, Vodafone Essar added 0.86 million new customers, boosting its subscriber base 148.60 million. Bharti Airtel notched up 1.30 million new subscribers during the month, taking its total base to 176.95 million.
State run Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd (BSNL) manged 860846 new subscribers boosting its subscriber base 93.46 million while AIRCEL increased its base by over 0.82 million customers to take its subscriber base to 62.46 million. Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd (MTNL) added 50,180 new users during the month, boosting its total base to 5.49 million at the end of Jan ’2011.
Please note : COAI GSM Subscriber base does not include the Reliance Communications (Rcom) and Tata Docomo’s GSM subscriber Base (same not submitted to COAI). While Pure CDMA operator MTS India said that it has added 1,43,434 customers in the month of January 2012, taking its total customer base to 15,197,661.

New IIT entrance format to get brighter students: Sibal

The new format of exams for entrance to the Indian Institutes of Technology (IITs) will ensure brighter students getting through to the prestigious institutions, Human Resource Development MinisterKapil Sibal said Friday. 

Speaking at a function in IIT-Delhi, Sibal said the new system will not replace the Joint Entrance Exam(JEE) as speculated, and will give weightage to school board marks. 

"School board exam marks (Class 12) will be given weightage, which will be 40 percent," Sibal said adding that with the coaching system dominating, students were ignoring board exams and focusing on coaching for the JEE. 

The HRD minister also informed that the exam will be held in two parts, mains and advanced. The first part will be an aptitude test, and the second part will check the student's "depth of knowledge". 

"IIT faculty will set the paper, and the exam will be called JEE only," he said. 

The minister said the new system will help get better students to the premier institute. 

According to a senior professor from the IIT, the new pattern may be introduced from 2013.

BSNL Launches 3 Android Tablets, Price Starting From Rs. 3250


Pan India 3G mobile service provider Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd (BSNL) today announced the launch of 3 Android powered Tablets including two 7 inch resistive screen based tabs (WiFi and 3G) and one 8 inch capacitive touchscreen Tablets in association with Pantel Technologies.
All 3 Tabs are made by Noida – India based company Pantel, the tablets will be bundled with special offer with 3 Months of free 2G/GPRS data usage as well as discounted 3G data plans from BSNL. The three tablets are priced at Rs. 3250, Rs. 10,999 and Rs. 13,500.
The BSNL Penta T PAD IS 701R is a low cost entry level tablet solution priced at Rs. 3250 powered by Google Android 2.3 OS. It comes with a high resolution 7” resistive touch screen (TFT Display) coupled with a powerful 1GHz processor and inbuilt 256 MB RAM and 0.3MP camera.
This tab is 2G and WiFi enabled so one can browse Internet over GPRS and WiFi to watch Youtube videos, check e-mail, read E-Books and much more with Android Apps. The built in 2GB memory can be expanded upto 32GB using the onboard TF Card slot.
BSNL T-Pad WS704C is 7 inch 3G Tab priced at Rs. 10999 powered by Android 2.3 OS. With this Tab one can browse the Internet over WiFi or through the inbuilt 3G HSPA SIM card slot using their BSNL 3G Sim card. This tab equipped with a powerful 1GHz processor and 512MB RAM.
It supports all popular video, music, and photo formats. The tablet also offers HDMI port (1080P & 720P) through which it can be connected to a TV.
The WS704C has 4GB of built-in internal memory and features a microSD card slot for upgrading the capacity to up to 32GB. It comes equipped with a built-in front 0.3Mp and 2 Mega Pixel Rear camera, GPS, Accelerometer, Bluetooth and microphone. The Tab has a Polymer 4000 mAH battery.
BSNL T-Pad WS802C  8 inch Android Tablet is priced at Rs. 13500 Powered by a 1.2 GHz processor and 512 MB RAM while rest of the features like GPS, camera and Bluetooth are same as the Penta T PAD WS704C.
BSNL customers can buy all these Tablet from Pantel Technologies. For more details dial 1800 103 7739 (Mon to Sat, 9 am to 6 pm).

Thursday, February 23, 2012

UAE's Etisalat sues Indian JV partners Vinod Goenka and Shahid Balwa for fraud

UAE telecoms operator Etisalat has sued its Indian joint venture partners for fraud, the former monopoly said on Thursday, following a top court's recent order to cancel its affiliates licenses amid a corruption probe. 

Etisalat has launched legal proceedings against Vinod Goenka and Shahid Balwa, top executives at its India partner DB Group, and Majestic Infracon Private Limited, a DB Group company, for fraud and misrepresentation. 

Etisalat DB officials were not immediately available for comment. 

On Wednesday, Etisalat said it would shut down the operations of Etisalat DB (EDB), in which it owns a 45 percent stake, after the unit's 15 licences were among 122 India's Supreme Court ordered to be scrapped. 

Etisalat paid $900 million in 2008 for its stake in Swan Telecom, later renamed Etisalat DB, with Majestic owning 45.7 percent. 

"Etisalat's case is that it was induced into its investment in the company without any disclosure of the matters that are now alleged to have occurred in connection with the obtaining of 2G licences by EDB," Etisalat said in an emailed statement. 

"Those events occurred a year before Etisalat's investment. Etisalat is facing very significant financial losses on its investment in EDB despite its having no involvement in the 2G license application or award process and being entirely innocent of any allegations relating to it." 

On Feb 9, the UAE firm wrote off $827 million relating to Etisalat DB. Relations between Etisalat and its joint venture partner have been tense for some time. Last July, the Abu Dhabi-based telecom operator said Majestic had brought undisclosed proceedings against it, which it called "wholly baseless", and the case was later withdrawn.